MATCH ANALYSIS
Analysis
83% confidence
Athletic Club enter this Basque derby with improving form and the advantage of playing at San Mamés. After a difficult start to the season, Athletic have responded with two wins and a draw from their last three league matches, including an impressive 3–0 home victory over Atlético Madrid.
Alavés have shown that they can be competitive, but they arrive after consecutive league defeats. This is also a matchup that has regularly produced controlled, relatively low-scoring games.
Rather than relying on Athletic to win outright, the double-chance market gives protection if the derby finishes level. Combining that with Under 4.5 goals provides a sensible PrimeXI selection, as five goals would be an unusually high total for this matchup.